Did nearly 6,000 rape victims in Missouri have to give birth since the overturning of Roe v Wade?

I love to look at the foolishness of tweets on X, from people from both political lanes. When it comes to the left, there is Lindy Li, the Krassenstein Bros. and the always foolish, Harry Sisson, among others.

I discovered a new one--Jess Piper--Executive Director, Blue Missouri. Writer. Speaker. Former teacher. Rural mom fighting for rural schools.

A couple of days she posted the following: About 6000 Missourians have been forced to deliver their rapist’s child since Roe was overturned. Missouri rapists get to choose the mother of their children...

Upon first glance, this seemed like hyperbole and clearly not plausible.

I found the research letter entitled Rape-Related Pregnancies in the 14 US States With Total Abortion Bans published in JAMA Internal Medicine.

The author claims--nearly 65,000 survivors of rape in states with abortion bans have become pregnant since the U.S. Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade in 2022. Missouri ranked second behind Texas with 5,825 rape-related pregnancies.

So with approximately 3,000 rapes per year, nearly 100% of them became pregnant? Is this plausible?

One commenter added some reality to the numbers, writing:

Let's say for instance, we go by the figure of 450,000 estimated rapes of females per year.

Let's assume that 80% of these rapes are of women of childbearing age. That leaves 360,000.

According to CDC.gov, 64.9% of women of childbearing age use hormonal contraceptives, leaving 35.1% not using, or 126,360 of these victims.

Women on average are fertile for 3 days out of an average 28 day menstrual cycle. So 10% of the time, or 12,636 women.

Couples trying for a baby take on average at least a year to succeed. So let's call that a 9% chance of a pregnancy each month, so approximately 1137.

The estimated number of rape-related pregnancies per year, based on your estimate of 450,000 rapes of women per year, is much closer to 1,000 than 65,000.

It's always interesting when people like Piper, who promote the destruction of human life so fervently, always use arguments like rape or incest, considered to be outliers when it comes to abortion, never use the argument on why 96% of women get abortions--convenience.